How To Be Good At Craps

broken image


  1. Craps: How To Become A Controlled Shooter – Craps Secrets
  2. How To Win At Craps Every Time
  3. How To Be Good At Craps Odds
  4. How To Be Good At Craps Game

As you go forth in your quest for knowledge, remember that asking great questions takes practice. This implies that you probably won't get it perfect every each outing. Just get started asking questions. Your skills will improve over time. Remember that if you want good answers, they come from asking good questions. Remember, craps moves fast, and you don't want to disrupt the game by deflecting the dice with your hands.The table has rails all the way around for players to store their chips. Keep yours directly in front of you, and keep your eye on them.

With only a little searching on the internet, you'll find pages that claim to have 'solved' craps.

You'll also find sites promising to teach you how to win 'consistently' at craps.

They claim that you can make profits on a regular basis by shooting dice and betting on other shooters.

This isn't one of those pages.

That's because I'm not a liar.

Here's the truth about how to win at real money craps almost every time you play.

Winning Craps Systems

I can tell you where to find the winning craps systems. They're right next to the unicorns in the zoo and the mermaids in the aquarium.

How do craps systems work?

They use a combination of bets that are meant to hedge against losses. They also usually involve raising and lowering the size of your bets based on what's happened on previous rolls and previous bets.

Often, they try to capitalize on hot and cold streaks.

Here's the problem:

All the bets on the craps table – with the exception of the odds bet – have a house edge. In effect, you could think of every craps bet as a negative number.

Some of those negative numbers are bigger than others, but they're all negative.

And if you double or triple those bets because of something that happened on a previous bet, you still have a negative number.

And yes, you will see winning and losing streaks at the craps table.

The problem is that you have no way to predict when these winning and losing streaks will begin or end. They're only available in hindsight.

The nature of gambling games – craps especially – is to be streaky.

But a streak can win or end at any time.

Here Are 10 Easy Steps to Beat Craps – Yeah, Right

I don't have a problem with writers offering tips for how to beat craps. Heck, I offer tips for craps players in some of my posts, too. My problem is the overselling of these tips.

But heck, even that's not too bad.

What's really bad are people who take your money in exchange for some kind of unbeatable craps system. These craps systems are NOT unbeatable. In fact, in the long run, they can't win.

You can't defeat the math at the craps table by combining various bets at the table. There are NO craps bets with a positive expectation. The closest you can get is a bet called the odds bet which has no house edge at all.

But just because that bet is a break-even bet doesn't mean it can help you get an edge at the other bets. In fact, you're not able to place an odds bet unless you've placed a pass bet first, which has a house edge.

But there's one possible exception to this…

Taking the Odds Bet on Someone Else's Bet

I read a book by Frank Scoblete where he suggested becoming the 'odds man.' I haven't tried this in a casino, so I don't know if it's a viable strategy or not. I do know that it won't get you an edge over the casino.

Here's how it works:

You find a craps player who's betting the pass line or the don't pass line – but who isn't taking or placing odds.

Craps: How To Become A Controlled Shooter – Craps Secrets

You ask that player if you can make odds bets on his bets.

If the casino allows this, and if the other player allows this, you can place or take odds without having to make the negative expectation bet that precedes the odds bet.

But this still doesn't give you an edge.

The odds bet is, in the long run, a break-even proposition.

There's a big difference between breaking even and making a profit. Sure, in the short run, you might see a quick profit, but over enough time, this strategy is just a break-even strategy.

Www freeblackjack com. A break-even strategy is far better than a losing strategy. I suppose if you take advantage of some comp drinks, it might even be considered marginally profitable.

Why Does the House Have a Mathematical Edge in Craps?

The mathematical edge in craps resembles the mathematical edge for every other casino game. It's just a function of offering bets that pay off at less than the odds of winning.

The easiest example to understand is the even money bet.

Most people realize that if you place an even money bet and have a 50% probability of winning that bet, you'll break even in the long run. By definition, a 50% probability of winning means you'll win as often as you lose.

And since even money means you're betting the same amount you'll win, you'll eventually see results close to a net loss or win of $0, regardless of the size of your bets.

But you don't have a 50% probability of winning the even money bets in craps. The probability of winning an even money bet in craps is always slightly less than 50%.

In this case, the probability of winning the pass line bet is 49.3%, which is close to 50%, but it still gives the casino an edge. The casino will win this bet 50.7% of the time.

In the long run, you can't win with those odds.

And that's arguable the best bet at the table. (The probability of winning the don't pass bet is higher by 5/100 of a percent, but that's such a small number that it's not especially interesting.

What if I Hedge My Bets?

Hedging your bets doesn't work. The idea is that you bet on one outcome, but you also place a bet on another outcome that will compensate for when your initial bet loses.

This sounds good in theory, but it doesn't work in the long run for one simple reason:

Your original bet AND your hedge both have a house edge.

In other words, you're just adding one negative expectation bet with another hoping to get a positive expectation.

But that's not how negative numbers work.

Add any set of negative numbers together, and you'll get a negative sum.

Okay, But What if You Could Control the Outcome of the Die Rolls?

The biggest potential I see for beating craps is learning how to exert some control over the outcome of the die rolls. The idea is that by holding the dice in a specific position ('setting the dice'), and then by throwing the dice without a lot of force ('a controlled throw'), you can reduce the probability of losing by enough to shift the already low house edge in favor of the bettor.

If you could do this – throw the dice with skill – you will have turned the game of craps into a game at least partially of skill. Think of controlled dice throwing as an attempt to turn the game of craps into a game similar to darts.

Is this possible?

Frank Scoblete thinks so, but he suggests a lot of hare-brained strategies, so I don't lend him much credence.

But I've also seen Michael Shackleford say that he's seen some pretty impressive demonstrations, and I have a lot of respect for him.

Loco panda casino instant play. Do I think it's practical to become a controlled dice shooter?

Let's talk about what that would involve in the next section.

What Would It Take to Become a Controlled Shooter?

I've seen being a controlled shooter called different things. Scoblete calls such shooters 'rhythmic rollers.' I've also seen them called 'dice setters.'

The verbs used to describe this approach varies, too. I've seen it called 'controlled shooting' or 'dice setting' more often than anything else.

The idea is to learn how to roll the dice well enough that you can reduce the odds of rolling a 7 by a significant enough margin that you flip the odds from favoring the house to where they favor the bettor. (This assumes that you're betting the pass line, of course.)

The first thing you would need to do to learn how to set dice is to find an instructional video, a book, or a coach. Those aren't hard to find, but I wouldn't spend a lot of money on such a thing.

The next thing you'll need is somewhere to practice. This includes having a realistic craps table with similar dimensions to what you'd find in an actual casino. It also includes having room for that craps table.

Then you need to practice what you've learned from the video, book, or coach on that table.

Finally, you'll need to track your results. This is where the rubber hits the road. To be statistically sure of how well you're affecting the odds, you'll need at least 1000 trials.

And the more trials you record, the more accurate your accounting of your skill at dice throwing will be.

One more thing…

I suspect that dice control might be like other feats of athleticism or skill. Some people just might not have a knack for it. It's possible that some people just might be able to learn how to do it, even if it is possible, and even if they do practice.

In short, I think dice control is an impractical (if not impossible) advantage play for the overwhelming number of gamblers.

95% of poker players lose money in the long run. This means that only 5% get an edge.

My guess is that a similar percentage of dice shooters have the knack for controlling the dice. It might even be a smaller number than that.

Conclusion

Craps is a great game, and I love it. And you can win a fortune playing craps in almost no time at all.

But the idea that you win at craps consistently or 'almost every time you play' is ludicrous.

If the casinos thought you had a way to beat craps, they'd back you off the game – just like they do with card counters.

When's the last time you saw the casino tell a craps player he's too skilled?

Yeah, me neither.

Easiest way to lose at craps is by shaking the dice and throwing it down the craps table

You've seen this in movies/tv a million times.
The guy asks the pretty girl next to him to kiss the dice.
Then for some reason he shakes the dice real good - making sure the dice are purely random.
Then with a loud holler, wails the dice across the craps table - going all over the place.
If ever there was a way to just donate money to the casino - this is it.

Why is randomly shaking dice so bad? Why will you never win at craps in the long term?

To put it simply? You're ensuring that the natural probability of the dice will occur.
(Huh? That's 'simply'?)
Let me explain..

How To Win At Craps Every Time

Casinos have paid lots of money to genius mathematicians to assure casinos always win

No matter how you play craps, the 7 is always beneficial to the casino and detrimental to the player.
Why?
Because the number 7 will come up more than any other number when the dice are rolled randomly.
So, if you play the Pass Line, then 7 only helps you during the Come Out Roll.
After the point is made - the 7 has more chances to come up than the point (or any other number).
And if you play the Don't Pass (DP/Darkside), then the 7 has more chances to kill your bet during the Come Out.
(Check out the Dice Rolling Probability chart on this website for a more in-depth explanation.
Add to this the fact that the casinos take a chunk of your winnings - and you have no hope of winning at craps
by shaking the dice as if you were playing Maracas, or something.
Yes, they take a chunk - it's how they make sure they always win.
For example, you're supposed to win $10 when you bet $5 on a 4 or 10.
But if you're Placing the number, you only get paid $9. They keep the $1.
You're probably thinking '$1? Who cares?'. Well the more you play, the more the casino eats away at your money.
When you lose, the casino takes the whole thing. When they win, they keep a portion. No way to beat that, right?

The only way to beat craps is to know the 'Loop Hole' - enter Dice Control

Well, you can't exactly control the dice. I like how the Dice Coach refers to it - Dice Influence.
The 'Loop Hole' is the fact that the casino makes money from craps as long as the dice are perfectly random.
Craps
This is how their mathematicians made their calculations.
But what they didn't take into consideration is the possibility that if even one face of the dice never comes up -
the game of craps can be beat.
And how is this accomplished? The magical word is consistency.

Dice Consistency 101 - a few tips for beginners

That's the term I use with my students.
I believe it more accurately describes the goal than either Dice Control or Dice Influence
Here's a few tips you can use to start seeing a little difference in your dice rolling:
  • Learn Dice Setting and choose one set to start with
    A good beginner set is the Hard Ways. This is a good set for visual feedback
  • Keep the dice square on the table, parallel to, and facing the backwall
  • Before tossing the dice, visually choose a spot a few inches from the backwall to land your dice on.
    From now on, you'll do everything you can to hit that spot as often as you can
  • Gently toss the dice, as if trying to 'swish' a basketball through a hoop.
    • When you're hand is 3/4 through the toss, spring open your hand - letting go of the dice
    • Make sure the dice are level in the air - not twisting around in weird directions
    • Spinning backward or forward is fine. Try to keep the dice looking as if they were glued together in the air
  • Observe how the dice land, react to the backwall, and how much they keep rolling after touching the backwall.
    I say touching the backwall, because you don't want to slam the dice into those pyramids.
  • Take a mental note of what the dice show when they come to a stop.
    If you're noticing that the dice are now rolling a certain combination more often - you're on your way
Keep in mind that if you roll a 6 twice in a row - it means little if one combination was 4+2 and the second one was 5+1. Just keep adjusting your throw to make sure the dice land softly on target, lightly touch the backwall,
and comes to a complete stop as quickly as possible (no bouncing around all over the craps table).

How To Be Good At Craps Odds


A quick check to see if you're still random

An easy way to tell if you're still random is if you're throwing all kinds of 7's.
For example, if you keep shooting a 6+1, but no 5+2's - this is good.
You may have limited the 5+2 from showing up together.
When you set your hardway set, move the 6 to either the 5 or 2 spot.
Keep setting your dice this way, and see if it helps.
If not, then readjust.

How To Be Good At Craps Game


Repeat this process till you limit the kinds of 7's you see.
If you can accomplish this - you're on your way to a few longer rolls, which equates to more possible wins!



broken image